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obama won each debate by double digits accor according to gallup polling and won by by 33 points. the president's team expected romney to be well prepared, playing up advantages for romney. debate and the first debate, favor challengers. >> senior romney a visor offered the g.o.p. debate spin in a memo to reporters -- regardless of who comes out on the top in the debate we amount afford another four years on the last four years. >> make a decision on what they believe is in the best interest of the country and their family. i expect to describe it in a way people understand. if i do, i get elected. >> romney spends the weekend in boston and flies to denver on monday. he has no public campaign activities planned. it's all private for the face-off. important of how important romney thinks it will be. >> bret: okay. see you in colorado. virginia base strategic allied consulting accused to submitting 100 questionable registration in seven countie counties. spokesperson says it's trying to find out how broad the scope of the problem is. the company says the form came from one person wh
obama won each debate by double digits accor according to gallup polling and won by by 33 points. the president's team expected romney to be well prepared, playing up advantages for romney. debate and the first debate, favor challengers. >> senior romney a visor offered the g.o.p. debate spin in a memo to reporters -- regardless of who comes out on the top in the debate we amount afford another four years on the last four years. >> make a decision on what they believe is in the best...
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Sep 30, 2012
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if you can cite a poll showing the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it, then you can really pile on and say, wow, this race is over. look, early voting has begun in more than 20 stiah and 25% of the vote is actually determined by those early voters. you can make a case for doing precisely what kirsten warned about which is prejudge the outcome. >> rick: conservative people are not happy about the polls. a lot of polls are being talked about being weighted about news consumer listening to your pearls of wisdom. how should they interpret. >> if you are curious for another take, go to unskewed.com about the poles. pat gidell who is not a republican and was a pollster says look, what the media are doing is hitting hard spending their own money and spending a lot of money in polls in virginia, ohio. clearly where whener obama is clobbering romney. you are eight points up. it's not completely wrong but clearly intended to create a bandwagon on an effect that romney is a goner. >> rick: do you agree with cal that we're going to hear stories by a tightening of t
if you can cite a poll showing the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it, then you can really pile on and say, wow, this race is over. look, early voting has begun in more than 20 stiah and 25% of the vote is actually determined by those early voters. you can make a case for doing precisely what kirsten warned about which is prejudge the outcome. >> rick: conservative people are not happy about the polls. a lot of polls are being talked about being weighted...
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Oct 1, 2012
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in ohio last week, we had cbs/"new york times" poll saying ten points for obama. and a columbus dispatch poll saying nine points. frank newport the head of the gallup organization had a blog posting that was revealing. he said you have to subject the state polls to the judgment of experience. he said for example, take ohio. the president won there by less than five points last time around. this time around, the poll that said he is winning by ten, does it make sense he would do twice as well, the margin is twice as big this time around than it was in 2008 when everybody is pointing to closer election than in 2008. of course not. it doesn't make sense. take this with the nevada and ohio shifts because of outlier polls. p.p.p. interestingly enough had a poll that was the outlier in nevada, plus nine for obama. then two polls in ohio. as a result they move it across the line from tossup to lean obama. i would say this, though. step back just a little bit and look at the arch since april. president obama has gone from 220 solid states, electoral college votes to 196 t
in ohio last week, we had cbs/"new york times" poll saying ten points for obama. and a columbus dispatch poll saying nine points. frank newport the head of the gallup organization had a blog posting that was revealing. he said you have to subject the state polls to the judgment of experience. he said for example, take ohio. the president won there by less than five points last time around. this time around, the poll that said he is winning by ten, does it make sense he would do twice...
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Sep 27, 2012
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i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50% annual bonus. and everyone likes 50% more [ russian accent ] rubles. eh, eheh, eh, eh. [ brooklyn accent ] 50% more simoleons. [ western accent ] 50% more sawbucks. ♪ [ maine accent ] 50% more clams. it's a lobster, either way. [ male annncer ] the capital one cash rewards card. with a 50% annual cash bonus, it's the card for people who like more cash. [ italian accent ] 50% more dough! what's in your wallet? >> dana: in 2008, then candidate obama thought trillions of dollars of debt was unpatriotic is what he said. once inaugurated in 2009
i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ the capital one cash rewards card gives you a 50%...
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Sep 26, 2012
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another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing state polling it looks like the race has tipped in his direction for the time being. >>neil: could we have a split view of this, a 2000 deal where the popular vote going one way, and that is tight. again, this depends on the poll. the swing state polls, then, not nearly so tight, for now? i stress, for now. could you see that as a possibility? >>guest: not at the moment. look, that is always a possible. if the race -- it is the fundamental of this race that are reasserted and it tightens to the end which most people expect it to do, we could see a lot the swing states getting in position where you can create scenarios where you can end up with an electoral tie or something very close along those lines. right now, though, for the moment, the race looks like mitt romney is slipping and obama is in front. >>neil: i was talking about an easy electoral win to the president if you buy the polls, and i don't, but the popular vote is tight.
another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing state polling it looks like the race has tipped in his direction for the time being. >>neil: could we have a split view of this, a 2000 deal where the popular vote going one way, and that is tight. again, this depends on the poll. the swing state polls, then, not nearly so tight, for now? i stress, for now. could you see that as a...
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they have all these polls with obama running away with this. people blow a gasket on the left if romney wins. they're also early voting going on right now. we know that this stuff is not reported to reflect opinion, they're trying to shape opinion with these polls. >> greta: is rush right? are these polls slanted toward democrats and toward president obama? let's bring in our expert panel. steve, first to you. number one, are the polls slanted in number two, the second part of the question, does that suppress the vote? >> look, i think if you're just looking at "the new york times"/cbs poll, you believe everything you see in the polling of florida and ohio today, the results that came out today, yes, i think they oversampled democrats. i don't think there's any question about it. it would mean a record turnout in those states to produce the kinds of results we saw. now that doesn't mean these polls are useless. if there's consistent oversampling inside a poll, like the cbs/"new york times" poll has been, plus eight or nine for democrats, so you
they have all these polls with obama running away with this. people blow a gasket on the left if romney wins. they're also early voting going on right now. we know that this stuff is not reported to reflect opinion, they're trying to shape opinion with these polls. >> greta: is rush right? are these polls slanted toward democrats and toward president obama? let's bring in our expert panel. steve, first to you. number one, are the polls slanted in number two, the second part of the...
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i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid does. and does it launch apps by voice while learning your voice ? launch cab4me. keep left at the fork. does it do turn-by-turn navigation ? droid does. with verizon, america's largest 4g lte network, and motorola, droid does. get $100 off select motorola 4g lte smartphones like the droid razr. >> dana: in 2008, then candidate obama thought trillions of dollars of debt was unpatriotic is what he said. once inaugurated in 2009, he promised the american people he would deal with the deficit problem. listen. >> we now have over $9 trillion
i hate these polls. coming up, in 2008, senator obama made this promise -- >> i am pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of hi first term in office. >> greg: i hate those. yellow curtains. four years later and he hasn't gotten it done. why? you will hear from the president. you are not going to let me say danl eat a live bunny if you leave? >> dana: ruin my reputation. >> greg: too late. ♪ ♪ does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid...
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Sep 29, 2012
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with polls now showing president obama building a lead over mitt romney in key battleground states, a democratic pollster and consultant who worked for jimmy carter says finding the right sample to survey can be tricky. >> we know from the exit polls and others, the republicans tend to respond to these polls less than oftentimes, particularly from news organizations, less than do democrats. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. gallup had michael dukakis leading by 17 points after the democratic convention, but lost to bush by 7.5%. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points in mid-september, tied with bill clinton by the end of october, though clinton eventually won. a former clinton pollster is questioning the assumptions being made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino, and young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> obama campaign senior advisor david axelrod told fox, "public polls are widely variant in their sampling and methodology so it's hard to case when they all point in one dire
with polls now showing president obama building a lead over mitt romney in key battleground states, a democratic pollster and consultant who worked for jimmy carter says finding the right sample to survey can be tricky. >> we know from the exit polls and others, the republicans tend to respond to these polls less than oftentimes, particularly from news organizations, less than do democrats. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. gallup had michael dukakis leading by 17 points...
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Oct 1, 2012
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if you look at the new "washington post" poll, obama is leading on almost every issue. romney only leads on handling the deficit but the two are split on the economy. obama is leading on medicare, health care. people find his international policies doing a little bit better, as well. the romney campaign is trying to cut into the margins and what has been obama's strength, to bring that down ahead of the debate on wednesday which will focus on domestic policy which is interesting that romney is going after foreign policy this week. >>shepard: i found it interesting, as well, but based on what has happened the last couple of weeks, i guess governor romney and his team think we have an opportunity here, why not seize it? >>guest: absolutely. we saw the op-ed today from romney. that's a point of weakness for obama at this point. so the romney campaign will go after that. foreign policy will be a big issue with only a little over a month to go. >>shepard: thank you, great to see you. >> administration folks are trying to figure out how the deadly attacks in benghazi occurred
if you look at the new "washington post" poll, obama is leading on almost every issue. romney only leads on handling the deficit but the two are split on the economy. obama is leading on medicare, health care. people find his international policies doing a little bit better, as well. the romney campaign is trying to cut into the margins and what has been obama's strength, to bring that down ahead of the debate on wednesday which will focus on domestic policy which is interesting that...
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the man that made it happened elected in 2010, and what he makes of the polls that show president obama is benefiting from all your hard work. >>guest: my daughter and my wife took belly dancing so that was fund -- fun to watch. here is what is happening. the race will come down to one thing, if governor romney explains that his plan to get jobs going is no different than my race in 2010. all i talked about what i would do to turn the economy around. it worked. unemployment has dropped faster than any other state. down 2.3 percent. last month, we were second to texas in job creation. my competition is governor perry. if he talks jobs, governor romney, he will do well. that is the biggest issue in our country. clearly, it is an issue in florida. we have done well but we still have people unemployed. a lot better than what we were but we still have a lot of work. >>neil: you reminded me at the convention and other times we have chatted, polls are fleeting and fickle. but it is interesting to me that in some of the states, swing states, the president made inroads and it could change over n
the man that made it happened elected in 2010, and what he makes of the polls that show president obama is benefiting from all your hard work. >>guest: my daughter and my wife took belly dancing so that was fund -- fun to watch. here is what is happening. the race will come down to one thing, if governor romney explains that his plan to get jobs going is no different than my race in 2010. all i talked about what i would do to turn the economy around. it worked. unemployment has dropped...
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Sep 30, 2012
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the polls seem to indicate and from top officials feel that obama is leading at this point is that the end of the night on wednesday night a lot of voters, millions of voters have to say, gee, i thought i was for obama but i'm not so sure. think don't have to put a yard sign for mitt romney on their front lawn. they need to sort of say, i thought i knew i was for but i'm not sure. if that happened and that would be enough for mitt romney. >> eric: what should we look for? should we watch for iconic line, are you better off than four years ago? >> i think from romney's point of view, he has to do a couple of things. he has to make the case as to why obama's record is wrong which won't be news. he has to address the concern that a lot of people have and 47% video didn't help that he would favor the rich over the middle-class. he has to explain why his economic plan would actually help the middle-class is the best plan for the middle-class. it's not just about protecting romney's rich friends. farce is the president is concerned, if its wash, that is fine. he doesn't need to score an knoc
the polls seem to indicate and from top officials feel that obama is leading at this point is that the end of the night on wednesday night a lot of voters, millions of voters have to say, gee, i thought i was for obama but i'm not so sure. think don't have to put a yard sign for mitt romney on their front lawn. they need to sort of say, i thought i knew i was for but i'm not sure. if that happened and that would be enough for mitt romney. >> eric: what should we look for? should we watch...
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that the polls are skewed toward president obama. what he is doing on the stump now, is it different from what he was doing? enough of change of message? winning formula to turn it around? >> he has to change the pitch on the stump. i don't think it's enough of a change to couner the potency of the 47% video that is part of the president stump speech. if he wants to win the presidency he has to campaign like polls are correct. if he doesn't win ohio and virginia there is a tight sweep to presidency to 270 for him. florida, iowa, wisconsin, colorado, nevada. he is behind in a bunch of them. he has 40 days to do it. a lot of work outside debate. you can't gamble on that. being in ohio is bad news. >> bret: there are some republicans who say listen, it's actually, we don't want to be at this point. but there is something about being behind that would wake people up to say wait a second, we're behind. motivate the troops. the battleground polls, you have to say there oversampling aside he is trailing. >> people are trying to explain away
that the polls are skewed toward president obama. what he is doing on the stump now, is it different from what he was doing? enough of change of message? winning formula to turn it around? >> he has to change the pitch on the stump. i don't think it's enough of a change to couner the potency of the 47% video that is part of the president stump speech. if he wants to win the presidency he has to campaign like polls are correct. if he doesn't win ohio and virginia there is a tight sweep to...
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>>guest: i think that virginia is a toss up state right now notwithstanding the polls. people will say one thing and do another. many people will be voting for obama would will say to pollsters that they vote for obama. the issue is, whether they will be exercised and excited to town out for obama, the same degree of excitement is not prevalent. >>neil: you are not in the camp that there is a "fix" in the polls but you think they can be skewed? >>guest: i don't rely on the polls. i talk to pundits around the country and the state i can tell you that many of them believe that if the election were hold today the likelihood would be that romney would not be the winner. on the other hand, they would tell you that in the percentage of error of plus or minus three or four, this state is still considered by many to be a toss up. i consider it a toss up state. >>neil: we shall see, governor. always a pleasure. the president has arrived. the airport is a long way from here. about four four loco -- four hours from here. so fast and smooth, you'll forget you had heartburn. ♪ tum
>>guest: i think that virginia is a toss up state right now notwithstanding the polls. people will say one thing and do another. many people will be voting for obama would will say to pollsters that they vote for obama. the issue is, whether they will be exercised and excited to town out for obama, the same degree of excitement is not prevalent. >>neil: you are not in the camp that there is a "fix" in the polls but you think they can be skewed? >>guest: i don't rely...
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will that be the case this year too or can president obama turn these polls around? trey i'll start with you. >> you don't have to have military service to run for president. i've done a lot of political work in virginia it is a preference among veterans. neither of these candidates have it, no one started off with an advantage. for this voting demographic it comes down to trust in leadership. measuring stick, with mitt romney they don't have a lot to go on, other than his words and the fact that he's a leader of a party that has owned the military vote. for barack obama, there are clear examples of his ineptitude as commander in chief and certainly from recent events in the mideast. >> heather: kristi, your response? >> it is important to remember as we said that the veterans' vote typically skews republicans, because veterans are typically white male, often in southern or rural areas. the real question is why mitt romney is not doing better? yes he has significant margins. if you looked at in 2004, george bush running against a decorated war hero in john kerry and
will that be the case this year too or can president obama turn these polls around? trey i'll start with you. >> you don't have to have military service to run for president. i've done a lot of political work in virginia it is a preference among veterans. neither of these candidates have it, no one started off with an advantage. for this voting demographic it comes down to trust in leadership. measuring stick, with mitt romney they don't have a lot to go on, other than his words and the...
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with just five weeks until election day and new polls showing president obama leading in key swing states, the presidential debates may be mitt romney's last best chance to turn this race around. and so we wanted to find out what the romney/ryan plan is when they face off against obama and biden. we caught up with running mate paul ryan saturday in new hampshire. before we sat down for an exclusive interview, we spoke briefly as he was about to it take the stage for a campaign town hall. >> what do you think just before you go out on stage each time? >> president obama is taking us in the wrong direction. mitt romney and i are offering them a different direction and i'm excited at the opportunity to give people the chance to pick that choice. that is what gets me excited about this. >> thank you so much for coming out, everybody. >> chris: congressman, welcome back to "fox news sunday." >> great to be back with you, chris. welcome to new hampshire. >> chris: thank you. what does governor romney need to do wednesday night in the first debate? >> he needs to give the american people the cho
with just five weeks until election day and new polls showing president obama leading in key swing states, the presidential debates may be mitt romney's last best chance to turn this race around. and so we wanted to find out what the romney/ryan plan is when they face off against obama and biden. we caught up with running mate paul ryan saturday in new hampshire. before we sat down for an exclusive interview, we spoke briefly as he was about to it take the stage for a campaign town hall....
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Sep 30, 2012
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for example, there are are two polls that show president obama in the lead in florida. the washington post poll has the president up by four points. 51 to 47. but the new york times poll has the president up by 9 points, 53-44. same state. two very different numbers. with me to explain all of this to you and me is former pollster are for president clinton and fox news contributor doug schoen. good evening, doug. >> good evening, judge. pleased to be here. >> judge jeanine: explain this to me? >> first it has to do with sample composition. the poll with the larger lead had more democrats. the poll with the smaller lead had fewer democrats. a bigger undecided. means that in fact that there is more per situation in the electorate. bottom line with one poll having the president 51 and 53 would i as a professional draw from it is the president's own vote is probably in the low 50s. the rest of vote is either undecided or with governor romney. undecided, judge, tend to break against the incumbent. >> so the president would assume even that one is four and the other is nine th
for example, there are are two polls that show president obama in the lead in florida. the washington post poll has the president up by four points. 51 to 47. but the new york times poll has the president up by 9 points, 53-44. same state. two very different numbers. with me to explain all of this to you and me is former pollster are for president clinton and fox news contributor doug schoen. good evening, doug. >> good evening, judge. pleased to be here. >> judge jeanine: explain...
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swing states are swinging for president obama if you believe all of the polls. are they using old information to help the president? we'll explain what is going on behind the scenes. >> steve: imagine your captain say brace for impact. and a miracle described by passengers as an act of god. we'll tell you what happened on the bird right there? >> brian: the nfl cutting a deal to bring the rev revs back for tonight's game and this weekend. but will they be ready for prime time? >> gretchen: exackly. >> brian: is itos
swing states are swinging for president obama if you believe all of the polls. are they using old information to help the president? we'll explain what is going on behind the scenes. >> steve: imagine your captain say brace for impact. and a miracle described by passengers as an act of god. we'll tell you what happened on the bird right there? >> brian: the nfl cutting a deal to bring the rev revs back for tonight's game and this weekend. but will they be ready for prime time?...
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new poll has president obama leading mitt romney 49 to 45. the president's lead is primarily due to women voters. they're breaking for him 56-2 right now. while men favor romney 52-42. no question the obama campaign is targeting the ladies. >> i find such a champion in president obama and which is why i passionately support him, specifically because i'm a woman. >> he also has the story that i can tell my daughter because it shows that no matter where you start out, you can work hard and you can do whatever you put your mind to. >> it's a story that touches me and one that is very familiar to me with how i was raised, you know, and our mom was a single parent. she had spectacular dreams for herself and us girls. >> bill: with us now, fox news analyst monica crowley and alan colmes. where are women breaking for the president? >> barak obama is leeing hugely among unmarried women, but among married women, romney is actually leading by 6 to 8 points. that being said, the president does have overall a big lead among women and i think it's largely
new poll has president obama leading mitt romney 49 to 45. the president's lead is primarily due to women voters. they're breaking for him 56-2 right now. while men favor romney 52-42. no question the obama campaign is targeting the ladies. >> i find such a champion in president obama and which is why i passionately support him, specifically because i'm a woman. >> he also has the story that i can tell my daughter because it shows that no matter where you start out, you can work...
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according to the average of all pennsylvania polls, president obama has a sizable lead. democrats have fought the law furiously because in the past lower town out has benefited republicans in pennsylvania. the state acknowledged in court that there has never been a case of in person voter fraud in pennsylvania. now like for us in new york city with more on that. what will happen come election day? >>reporter: trace, believe it or not on election day poll workers will ask for your photo i.d. in pennsylvania but voters do not have to show up. the judge simpson led the law stay in place ruling it is constitutional but not for this election in november. he was concerned not enough people have photo i.d.'s so far and there are concerns about people voting by provisional ballot and under the law having to prove who they are in six days. he ruled, "i expected morphoto i.d.es to have been issued and the remaining five weeks before the general election." opponents are thrilled. >> the united states of america, the hallmark of our democracy, is universal suffrage. we are known aro
according to the average of all pennsylvania polls, president obama has a sizable lead. democrats have fought the law furiously because in the past lower town out has benefited republicans in pennsylvania. the state acknowledged in court that there has never been a case of in person voter fraud in pennsylvania. now like for us in new york city with more on that. what will happen come election day? >>reporter: trace, believe it or not on election day poll workers will ask for your photo...
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the polls show obama inching out with a lead. in one poll it's a 9-point advantage. the romney campaign says they have a bias for mr. obama because it's based on the 2008 turnout. they say that has been obliterated by the 2010 mid-term. megyn: let's look at this key battle ground state. although unemployment is lower here, the recovery has been uneven. what are ohio voters saying about the road ahead. bill hemmer is co-anchor of america's newsroom and he's an ohio native so he knows a thing or two about that state. >> reporter: this is confounding. you can go to southeastern ohio weren't unemployment rate is 13%. in northwestern ohio it's 4%. we met brad much inon. he chases the american dream with a lot of determination and a high school diploma. he employs 90 people in the tiny town of caroll. he laid off 7 people in part because he doesn't know what the laws will be out of washington. >> there were a lot of jobs slated to start and guys just put the brakes on. a lot of what we are hearing from the industry, it's due to this election. >> reporter: he says because o
the polls show obama inching out with a lead. in one poll it's a 9-point advantage. the romney campaign says they have a bias for mr. obama because it's based on the 2008 turnout. they say that has been obliterated by the 2010 mid-term. megyn: let's look at this key battle ground state. although unemployment is lower here, the recovery has been uneven. what are ohio voters saying about the road ahead. bill hemmer is co-anchor of america's newsroom and he's an ohio native so he knows a thing or...
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right now in a popularity poll president obama is ahead of mitt rom flee by 3 points according to a new fox news survey. after the debates that could change dramatically. romney and obama realize they must seem like the nice guy that's why they go on entertainment programs. they shouldn't be dealing with trivia but they do what they think they have to do. talking points understands that americans want their leaders to be accessible. they want to know that powerful people understand them. that is why the president's campaign has spent hundreds of millions of dollars trying to demonize governor romney as the callous rich guy. no one knows how many american voters are basically voting on wins. the group is substantial especially in a time when social media is diverting attention away from issues. >> the first debate is coming up on wednesday october 3rdrd. it starts at 8:55 p.m. from megan kelly and bret baier live from denver. >> before you leave the house this morning let's get the first degree weather update janice dean tracking the storms across the northeast. >> if you live in the nor
right now in a popularity poll president obama is ahead of mitt rom flee by 3 points according to a new fox news survey. after the debates that could change dramatically. romney and obama realize they must seem like the nice guy that's why they go on entertainment programs. they shouldn't be dealing with trivia but they do what they think they have to do. talking points understands that americans want their leaders to be accessible. they want to know that powerful people understand them. that...
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according to the latest "wall street journal" and nbc poll, president obama has a seven point lead in new hampshire. north carolina is neck and neck with a two-point lead inside the margin of error. same goes for the state of nevada where the president has but a two-point lead. again, that is inside the margin of error. with us now is political reporter for real clear politics partisans can try to spin the polls but we use the same polls every time and the same methods. our polls say the same thing as everyone else. it is an uphill battle for mitt romney. no one is saying he can't win the thing. he has his work cut out. >> some of the polls do have higher samples of democrats. we hear the romney campaign --. >>shepard: our pollsters have said our poll is straight up and it is what it is. >>guest: you are right. that is why we are seeing both candidates, both the president and mitt romney, will be down a lot. we saw mitt romney in pennsylvania but we likely will not see him again until wednesday. the same thing with the president. he will campaign in nevada on fund. both candidates are
according to the latest "wall street journal" and nbc poll, president obama has a seven point lead in new hampshire. north carolina is neck and neck with a two-point lead inside the margin of error. same goes for the state of nevada where the president has but a two-point lead. again, that is inside the margin of error. with us now is political reporter for real clear politics partisans can try to spin the polls but we use the same polls every time and the same methods. our polls say...
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if you can cite a poll showing the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it. you can really pile on and say, wow, this race is over. look early voting has begun in more than 20 states and 25% of the vote is actually determined by those early voters. you can make a case doing precisely kirsten warned about is prejudging the outcome of this election. >> rick: conservatives are not happy with the mainstream polls. a lot of talk about the polls being weighted incorrectly for a news consumer listening to your pearls of wisdom. what would you say how they should interpret the polling that should be done right now? >> if you are curious, go to unskewed polls.com an attempt to rate the polls. fox news poll has romney down five points. it suggests romney is down. pat who is not a republican and pollster, says, look, what the media are doing is hitting hard and spending their own money and deciding to spend money on polls in virginia and ohio states where obama is clearly clobbering romney. see, he is 8 points. he miss be losing nationwide. it's not completely wrong bu
if you can cite a poll showing the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it. you can really pile on and say, wow, this race is over. look early voting has begun in more than 20 states and 25% of the vote is actually determined by those early voters. you can make a case doing precisely kirsten warned about is prejudging the outcome of this election. >> rick: conservatives are not happy with the mainstream polls. a lot of talk about the polls being weighted...
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the "wall street journal"/nbc poll puts the race at 4% for president obama. vi% for governor romney. if you look at the real clear politics average of polls, this is roughly about that from september 25 to octobe october 2. if you go to the "wall street journal" poll about the economy, approval, how is president obama doing handling the economy? vi% approve. 51% disapprove. brit, while right track/wrong track is narrowing there is still real negative numbers in the polls for president obama. >> well, for romney to have a chance, there better be. because that is the issue that is central. he had been gaining ground on the issue in a way a lot of people thought wasn't possible. if he has begun to retreat, romney needs that to happen. he needs to emerge from the whole campaign, the debates part of them as the person with the ability and the stronger plan for the economy. because this is not an economy that people find to their liking. not agreeable to people. that is where romney needs to be strong. >> bret: chuck, their target audience tonight? >> maybe state o
the "wall street journal"/nbc poll puts the race at 4% for president obama. vi% for governor romney. if you look at the real clear politics average of polls, this is roughly about that from september 25 to octobe october 2. if you go to the "wall street journal" poll about the economy, approval, how is president obama doing handling the economy? vi% approve. 51% disapprove. brit, while right track/wrong track is narrowing there is still real negative numbers in the polls for...
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they're taking the same poll on romney/obama in missouri, they're oversampling democrats by nine points. that's using polls to score political points. >> sean: stay right there. we'll come back and have much more with arnol ann coulter. also coming up, arnold schwarzenegger talking about the affair that ruined his marriage. that's straight ahead. >> my wife was a fantastic friend, great advisor, great mother. my kids were fantastic. the thing that i cherished the the thing that i cherished the most [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. monarch of marketing analysis. with the ability to improve roi through seo all by cob. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle... and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. i'm going b-i-g. [ male announcer ] good choice business pro. good choice. go national. go like a pro. >> we continue with ann coulter and david limbaugh. pat caddell, mainstream media is threatening our country's future. how did we get to be 36 days out of an election and a president who said
they're taking the same poll on romney/obama in missouri, they're oversampling democrats by nine points. that's using polls to score political points. >> sean: stay right there. we'll come back and have much more with arnol ann coulter. also coming up, arnold schwarzenegger talking about the affair that ruined his marriage. that's straight ahead. >> my wife was a fantastic friend, great advisor, great mother. my kids were fantastic. the thing that i cherished the the thing that i...
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definitely 43% in the rasmussen poll say yes for romney only 42 for barack obama. i believe if mitt romney does well and can sting the president like ronald reagan stung jimmy carter that he will immediately become the frontrunner and the so-called swings states will tighten up. most of them anyway. florida particularly will. that's my analysis right now. >> i think these state races probably will tighten but that's what happens in the final weeks of a campaign. races tend to tighten. this will be a closer race in all l get closer to election day one senses though that look an incumbent running with a record like this with the economy in such serious shape many people predicting recession with all this trouble he he has been having overseas, with all of that he he ought to be in a lot of trouble. it's surprising to many people that he is ahead. we keep thinking something will happen. is he is not a great politician but seems honorable and decent enough man that if the people were ready to make a change they would not have a lot of trouble settling on him as a relia
definitely 43% in the rasmussen poll say yes for romney only 42 for barack obama. i believe if mitt romney does well and can sting the president like ronald reagan stung jimmy carter that he will immediately become the frontrunner and the so-called swings states will tighten up. most of them anyway. florida particularly will. that's my analysis right now. >> i think these state races probably will tighten but that's what happens in the final weeks of a campaign. races tend to tighten....
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the rasmussen daily tracking poll today has mr. obama up by 1%, 47%, to 46% over mitt romney. in the 11 swing states that will decide the election, rasmussen has the race tied 46% 46%. 3% remain undecided in the swing states. that's much closer than most of the other polling which talking points exposed earlier this week as being heavily weighted to the democratic side. we here are putting our trust in rasmussen this year because that outfit was the most accurate polling center in 2008. american society is changing rapidly with social media dominating the lives of many citizens and bitter partisanship on both sides backed by billions of dollars. just today we learned that our pal george soros is ponying up close to $2 million to help the president. that kind of money talks. and what it says will not be complimentary to mitt romney. the governor has the economic stats on his side. but it's clear that he and paul ryan still have not convinced the casual voter that they can improve the economy. mr. romney's moment will come next wednesday in denver when he confronts mr. obama in
the rasmussen daily tracking poll today has mr. obama up by 1%, 47%, to 46% over mitt romney. in the 11 swing states that will decide the election, rasmussen has the race tied 46% 46%. 3% remain undecided in the swing states. that's much closer than most of the other polling which talking points exposed earlier this week as being heavily weighted to the democratic side. we here are putting our trust in rasmussen this year because that outfit was the most accurate polling center in 2008....
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the gal hop poll -- gallup poll shows most americans think president obama will win the debates which is what romney wanted people to think so he could overcome lower expectations and appear to overachieve tonight but it shows a certainant of doubt in the american public about his debate skills. he has reached a point in the last few days where he recognizes there is a industry amount riding on this and he has to show to the american people he is a capable, able, and likable would-be president who provides necessary specifics to persuade people that there is a reasonable affirmative vote they can cast in his favor. that does not exclude his ability to go after president obama and make the case with the biden remark from yesterday about the middle class being buried, or the president's remarks about redistribution going back several years, that the obama agenda will not like the economy. >>shepard: what superstitions does your candidate have? >>carl: no real hard work or debate rehearsals. the idea is not to leave it in the locker room. he told the aides, it is now up to him and reboun
the gal hop poll -- gallup poll shows most americans think president obama will win the debates which is what romney wanted people to think so he could overcome lower expectations and appear to overachieve tonight but it shows a certainant of doubt in the american public about his debate skills. he has reached a point in the last few days where he recognizes there is a industry amount riding on this and he has to show to the american people he is a capable, able, and likable would-be president...
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polls in swing states showing president obama pulling ahead of governor mitt romney, but not so fast. dick morris, author of new book "here come the black helicopters" has something to say about the polls. he joins us. nice to see you, dick. dick, you may be perhaps the only one who's saying that these polls suggest that governor romney is winning. please tell me how you arrive at that. >> sure. well, karl rove i think has some thoughts like that. let me go through it. what's going on now is these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino and young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. not the normal level, which you had in '04, '00, '06 and so on. the pollsters are awaiting the data to assume you have that level. so, for example, in 2008, 14% of the vote was cast by african americans. in 2004, in all the other years, only 11% was. in 2010, only 11% was. so what the pollsters is doing is weighting up the number of black interviews, giving them more weight so that they account for 14% of the sample, not 11%. for young people, they historically
polls in swing states showing president obama pulling ahead of governor mitt romney, but not so fast. dick morris, author of new book "here come the black helicopters" has something to say about the polls. he joins us. nice to see you, dick. dick, you may be perhaps the only one who's saying that these polls suggest that governor romney is winning. please tell me how you arrive at that. >> sure. well, karl rove i think has some thoughts like that. let me go through it. what's...
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a new fox news poll showing president obama with a five-point lead nationally. 48-43%. unchanged from earlier in month and within the margin of error but a significant shift from before the convention. >> 136,000 jobs will be lost in virginia. >> if f the candidate is getting anxious, you wouldn't know it. as he hammered president obama as defense cut in looming sequestration of the american legion post. >> it's still a troubled and dangerous world. the idea of cutting our military commitment by a trillion dollars over this decade is unthinkable. and de stating. when i become -- steve dating anpresident wewill stop it. i won't cut money to the military. >> he picked support of medal of honor recipients tonight. last night in ohio, impromptu photo op, when a chartered sightseeing plane pulled up next to his. obama campaign tried to drive a wedge between romney and the reliable constituency today. i have a cuing him of threatening veteran benefit with the planned spending cut. romney threw it back at the president. >> given the need of the veterans how in world as command
a new fox news poll showing president obama with a five-point lead nationally. 48-43%. unchanged from earlier in month and within the margin of error but a significant shift from before the convention. >> 136,000 jobs will be lost in virginia. >> if f the candidate is getting anxious, you wouldn't know it. as he hammered president obama as defense cut in looming sequestration of the american legion post. >> it's still a troubled and dangerous world. the idea of cutting our...
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they're taking the same poll on romney/obama in missouri, they're oversampling democrats by nine points. that's using polls to score political points. >> sean: stay right there. we'll come back and have much more with arnol ann coulter. also coming up, arnold schwarzenegger talking about the affair that ruined his marriage. that's straight ahead. >> my wife was a fantastic friend, great advisor, great mother. my kids were fantastic. the thing that i cherished the most i destroyed by stupid things that i've done. >> we continue with ann coulter and david limbaugh. pat caddell, mainstream media is threatening our country's future. how did we get to be 36 days out of an election and a president who said shovel ready, shovels hitting the ground, and a net loss of jobs in the time he's been president. george bush is unpatriotic and irresponsible, $14 trillion in debt, eight years. he's got $6 trillion and said he cut the deficit in half in his first term. he's not been asked the simple basic questions by anybody. how did we get to -- >> except by univision. >> sean: one example. >> they have
they're taking the same poll on romney/obama in missouri, they're oversampling democrats by nine points. that's using polls to score political points. >> sean: stay right there. we'll come back and have much more with arnol ann coulter. also coming up, arnold schwarzenegger talking about the affair that ruined his marriage. that's straight ahead. >> my wife was a fantastic friend, great advisor, great mother. my kids were fantastic. the thing that i cherished the most i destroyed by...
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. >>> talking politics now president obama and mitt romney have the first debate tomorrow in november. >>> we have a new poll that is out but it hasn't done much for the politics the national average for the polls. it was up 3 and a half points. the national picture remains very, very close. one of the swing states is the scene of the debate. he got last minute campaigning he got a last minute endorsement from quarterback john elway. he is preparing for a much more critical stage on wednesday. >> these debates are an opportunity for each of us to describe the pathway forward for america that we would choose. american people are going to have to make their choice as to what kind of debate they want. it will be a conversation with the american people that will span almost an entire month. >>> the university of denver is still being set for the three debates. president obama is spending time at a nevada resort. he runs through rehearsals. >> what i am most concerned about is having a serious discussion about what we need to do to keep the country growing and restore security for hard-wor
. >>> talking politics now president obama and mitt romney have the first debate tomorrow in november. >>> we have a new poll that is out but it hasn't done much for the politics the national average for the polls. it was up 3 and a half points. the national picture remains very, very close. one of the swing states is the scene of the debate. he got last minute campaigning he got a last minute endorsement from quarterback john elway. he is preparing for a much more critical...
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some of the national polls are showing it tied up or president obama ahead by a point or so. who is spurring him to that lead? >> that's a very good question. i was researching this this morning and trying to connect the dots. at the end of the day when you look at paul ryan's plan which mitt romney says he agrees with, but not 10 pores. when you look at what mitt romney wants to do in the united states as president and wants to run it like he did his company. and if you look at we did in massachusetts when he was governor, clearly romney's policies benefit the rich. i understand the frustration with the economy and not being as optimistic about the economy and being angry and wanting to blame the president. but the alternative is worse for the middle class when they look at the actual numbers. megyn: politico reports 54% of the total american electorate is the middle class -- usually their vote is split count middle. not this time around. >> maybe they are actually listen together results from massachusetts where he took the state from an expected large deficit to a surplus
some of the national polls are showing it tied up or president obama ahead by a point or so. who is spurring him to that lead? >> that's a very good question. i was researching this this morning and trying to connect the dots. at the end of the day when you look at paul ryan's plan which mitt romney says he agrees with, but not 10 pores. when you look at what mitt romney wants to do in the united states as president and wants to run it like he did his company. and if you look at we did in...
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if you can cite a poll shows the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it, then you can really pile on, and say, wow, this race is over. and look, voting, early voting has begun in more than 20 states, and 25% of the vote is actually determined by the early voters and you can make a case for doing precisely what kirsten warned about, which is pre-judging the outcome of the election. >> the conservatives not happy with the polls out there. a lot talking about them being weighted incorrectly. for a news consumer listening to your pearls of wisdom, how should they interpret. >> if you're curious for another take, unskewed polls.com, a way to reweight the polls-- the fox news poll has romney down 5 points and suggests romney it down. and one who was not a-- and a pollster for gary hart and so on, he wrote in great part, what the media are doing are newspapers are supposed to be broke, instead spending money on polls in virginia, ohio and florida where obama clearly is clobbering romney in terms of television buys, you're down 8 points in ohio must be losing nati
if you can cite a poll shows the gap between romney and obama growing and obama running away with it, then you can really pile on, and say, wow, this race is over. and look, voting, early voting has begun in more than 20 states, and 25% of the vote is actually determined by the early voters and you can make a case for doing precisely what kirsten warned about, which is pre-judging the outcome of the election. >> the conservatives not happy with the polls out there. a lot talking about...
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i oppose president obama war on poll and fossil fuels. big mistake and it has cost americans livelihood and jobs. shame on you. >> greg: shame on you, kimberly. coming up, president obama camp says women don't care about wha what happened in the last four years but that's not what ann romney is hearing on the campaign trail. if you leave now, andrea will set fire to eric's chest hair. ♪ ♪ so you say men are superior drivers? yeah. then how'd i get this... [ voice of dennis ] ...safe driving bonus check? every six months without an accident, allstate sends a check. ok. [ voice of dennis ] silence. are you in good hands? >> announcer: this is the day. the day that we say to the world of identity thieves "enough." we're lifelock, and we believe you have the right to live free from the fear of identity theft. our pledge to you? as long as there are identity thieves, we'll be there. we're lifelock. and we offer the most comprehensive identity theft protection ever created. lifelock: relentlessly protecting your identity. call 1-800-lifeloc
i oppose president obama war on poll and fossil fuels. big mistake and it has cost americans livelihood and jobs. shame on you. >> greg: shame on you, kimberly. coming up, president obama camp says women don't care about wha what happened in the last four years but that's not what ann romney is hearing on the campaign trail. if you leave now, andrea will set fire to eric's chest hair. ♪ ♪ so you say men are superior drivers? yeah. then how'd i get this... [ voice of dennis ] ...safe...
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obama, 47 romney. and brad cokier, the pollster says ground game will decide it. virginia effectively tied. north carolina effectively tied. in every one. those states, greta, we believe we'll be able to increase the evangelical turnout from the 2008 baseline by an average of about 7%. and when that happens, there's going to be a lot of shocked faces in a lot of newsrooms all across america. >> greta: let me take ohio, for example. let's take one. 18 electoral college votes. you think you have enough -- there are enough evangelicals who have not been counted in this poll that are going to vote for -- that were going to vote for president obama, you think you can get to them to make the difference in that state, for instance? >> i do. the interesting thing about this, greta, here we are in the age of internet, you know, cable tv, smartphones, you know, tablets, and all this amazing technology, and where has all this technology taken us? it's taken us to an air war of mutual assured destruction where bot
obama, 47 romney. and brad cokier, the pollster says ground game will decide it. virginia effectively tied. north carolina effectively tied. in every one. those states, greta, we believe we'll be able to increase the evangelical turnout from the 2008 baseline by an average of about 7%. and when that happens, there's going to be a lot of shocked faces in a lot of newsrooms all across america. >> greta: let me take ohio, for example. let's take one. 18 electoral college votes. you think you...
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like president obama over romney but they don't turn up to vote for november. they stay home try. ing to get them to go to vote. doing it to get them to look at i look at sheryl crow and ashley judd and do what they tell me. >> eric: they're doing what they probably should do. they had the single women vote so they try to get the enthusiasm level up. get them out to vote. romney doing something similar with married women. women who are heading households. they have an ad. i see romney or the super pac ad having women who voted for president obama in 2008. who over the course of four years were having a hard time in the economy. things are going so tough. they are disillusioned now going to vote for romney. they are both going after the target. it's all fair, right? >> andrea: listen to what they are saying about republicans, greg. maybe not so fair. eva longoria refers to anyone who criticizes obama as extremist. sheryl crow said the tea party is stupid and they don't know what they're angry at. my personal favorite, gloria steinham said of republican women, i
like president obama over romney but they don't turn up to vote for november. they stay home try. ing to get them to go to vote. doing it to get them to look at i look at sheryl crow and ashley judd and do what they tell me. >> eric: they're doing what they probably should do. they had the single women vote so they try to get the enthusiasm level up. get them out to vote. romney doing something similar with married women. women who are heading households. they have an ad. i see romney or...
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>>gregg: this poll shows president obama at 49 and 44 and that can chain instantly. some of the media have written governor romney's obituary, this is premature. >> the media polls, the mainstream media uses the state polls like the new form of negative advertising. other negative campaigning against romney. the news organizations that are broke are spending thousands and thousands on the state polls each week to show, to push obama. look, the fact is, gallup has us five, and doug is right. rasmussen has him up two among likely voters. my theory is split the difference. it is somewhere close, romney has lost ground but not the kind of ground that we are hearing. most importantly the president is 50 percent approval and romney's favorables are going up. >>gregg: it is a national popular election. that brings me to the real clear politics electoral map. you have to win the states that have the big numbers attached. not election were held today, here is what you would have. obama at 265, five shy of what you have to get and romney at 191. i would say the polls and that
>>gregg: this poll shows president obama at 49 and 44 and that can chain instantly. some of the media have written governor romney's obituary, this is premature. >> the media polls, the mainstream media uses the state polls like the new form of negative advertising. other negative campaigning against romney. the news organizations that are broke are spending thousands and thousands on the state polls each week to show, to push obama. look, the fact is, gallup has us five, and doug...
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according to the latest fox news poll. 39% of voters approve of president obama's handling of the situation and 17% say they're not sure. so, how might this impact the race for the white house? angela mcglowan, a political analyst and jehmu green, a fox news contributor and women's media centerment thank you for joining us this afternoon to share your insights and perspective on this situation. in the aftermath of the terrorist attack or the benghazi consulate which took the lives of ambassador chris stevens and three other americans, the american people have wanted to hear a coherent message from the white house, instead, we have received, as we've seen through molly's report, shifting accounts of that fatal attack. so, what impact, and what bearing does this have on the presidential campaign now? jehmu? >> well, i think we have to keep in mind that from the moment that our embassy was attacked, the president and this administration has been focused on securing our diplomates, securing our facilities and going after the killers for justice. now, looking at any investigation, you're going t
according to the latest fox news poll. 39% of voters approve of president obama's handling of the situation and 17% say they're not sure. so, how might this impact the race for the white house? angela mcglowan, a political analyst and jehmu green, a fox news contributor and women's media centerment thank you for joining us this afternoon to share your insights and perspective on this situation. in the aftermath of the terrorist attack or the benghazi consulate which took the lives of ambassador...